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Numbers favor Cats by 9 at Vanderbilt

Immanuel Quickley (Jeff Houchin Photo)

By RICHARD CHEEKS, Contributing Writer

On Saturday, Kentucky played its strongest game of the season since the season opener against then #1 Michigan State and left Knoxville, Tennessee a 13 point winner. Auburn handed LSU its second consecutive loss in Auburn, Alabama and Florida took one on the chin at Mississippi to separate the SEC race into a three way tie for first place with LSU, Auburn and LSU with two losses each. Florida finds itself in 4h place with 4 losses tied South Carolina.

To night, the Cats will play on the road again, at Vanderbilt where LSU suffered its first SEC loss of the year this past Wednesday.

It is perilous to look ahead, but under the circumstances in the league race, all signs now point to February 18 in Baton Rouge when the Cats and Bengal Tigers collide with the SEC conference championship at stake. The Cats will play at Vanderbilt, as noted above, and entertain Mississippi while LSU will host Missouri on Tuesday and travel to Alabama next Saturday before the collision will happen in Baton Rouge. The winner of that critical game will have the inside track to the SEC regular season title with 5 games left.

However, the Cats must take care of business with Vanderbilt before any thing else can matter.

Vanderbilt’s current ANE is an 0..031 ppp against a schedule strength of 0.057 ppp and a tempo of 70.2 possessions per game. The Cats bring an ANE of 0.205 ppp into this game having played a schedule strength of 0.066 ppp at a tempo of 69.5 possessions per game.

Based on this data for these teams, an ANE analysis indicates this game will have a tempo of 70 possessions and the Cats should enjoy a 9 point margin, 76-67.

2 comments

  1. UK scored its 78 points on 67 possessions (1.164 ppp) for the game, and VANDERBILT scored its 64 points on 67 possessions (0.955 ppp).

    Kentucky won the battle of the boards 43-32, and Kentucky controlled the offensive glass 10-9, which produced a 17-11 advantage on second chance points for the Commodores. VANDERBILT had an offensive efficiency of 0.791 ppp on its 67 first chance possessions and 1.222 ppp for its 9 second chance possessions. UK had 0.910 ppp on its 67 first chance possessions and 1.700 ppp on its 10 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed 30.3%of its misses as offensive rebounds while VANDERBILT was able to convert 21.4% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.

    UK hit well from the free throw line in this game, making 16-19 [84.2%]. VANDERBILT made 9-17 [52.9%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 28-59 overall [47.5%] and 6-9 from long range [66.7%]. For Vanderbilt, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was 11-31 [35.5%] and from long range, VANDERBILT hit 11-27 [39.3%].

    The Cats committed 9 turnovers, one for every 7.4 possessions. The Cats forced 7 VANDERBILT turnovers, one for every 9.6 possessions.

    Next Game On Schedule: Saturday afternoon against Mississippi at Rupp in the Cats’ twenty fifth regular season game and the 12th game of the 2020 SEC season.

  2. Rocky start for the Cats, but they come from behind and win going away. Nice.

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